We begin our tour of the British newspapers published this morning from The Times and a report by its correspondent Michael Evans entitled: “Taiwan Tensions: The United States will suffer heavy losses in the war with China.”
The writer conveys the summary of an analysis conducted by a think tank in Washington stating that a large-scale dispute between China and the United States over the future and independence of Taiwan, would lead to devastating losses in American warships and aircraft.
He adds that the unprecedented naval battle, predicted by former Pentagon and US Navy officials, could prompt the joint US and Japanese navies and air forces to sink up to 150 Chinese amphibious ships and other ships in support of Taiwan.
However, the cost of defending the island, according to the analysis, would be “extremely high”.
Evans quotes former Pentagon and US Navy officials and experts at the Center for Strategic and International Studies (CSIS), who predicted the potential for catastrophic destruction on both sides in the event of a Chinese invasion.
He points out that the confrontation scenario developed by the center, to simulate a war in 2026, confirms that there will be no clear winner in the conflict.
The ballistic missiles of the Chinese army are expected to sink a large proportion of the American and Japanese fleets and destroy hundreds of aircraft on the ground.
“Air and sea counterattacks for the Washington-led coalition will destroy China’s amphibious and exposed fleet and sink into the The end is about 150 ships.”
The Times report noted that six years ago, the RAND Corporation, in turn, analyzed the likely outcome of a war between China and the United States and predicted that there would be “heavy military losses on both sides.” However, the 2016 report concluded that the Chinese military would suffer much greater losses.
But in the six years that followed, the Chinese military made significant technical progress, according to the author. He built an arsenal of ballistic missiles, as part of China’s policy to deter US carrier strike groups from entering the region in time of war.
Cancian told The Times that recent Chinese exercises reflected capabilities that were taken into account after the war’s analyses.
“In almost all scenarios, the US/Japan/Taiwan alliance could prevent Chinese forces from occupying the entire island. However, the cost would be very high,” he told the newspaper.
In the aftermath of such a war, he added, “it will take years for the United States to rebuild its forces due to low production rates.” and that “other countries such as Russia and Iran may take advantage of US weakness” during this time.
Trump and the Republican Party’s Dilemma
We move to the Guardian and an opinion piece by Lloyd Green entitled: “Trump’s Week and the Terrible and Very Bad Republicans are about to get worse.”
The writer reviewed the events that took place during a “bad” week regarding former President Donald Trump and his Republican Party.
The FBI raided the former president’s Florida home on Monday. A day later, a federal appeals court upheld the right of a House committee to see his tax returns. As Democrats reduce the huge gap between them and the Republicans in the special congressional elections in Minnesota, where results show that the Republicans will win the state, she was considered almost entirely pro-Trump, by a very small margin.
The writer adds that, in a historical precedent, the federal authorities treated a former president of the country in a somewhat humiliating manner.
He points out that the reason for the raid was the suspicion that Trump hid key government documents when he returned others to the National Archives seven months ago. He added that there were reports that during Trump’s final days as president, the White House shipped 15 boxes of records to Trump’s home in Florida, which were meant to be deposited instead in the National Archives.
Notably, according to the author, the seizure follows a June visit by Jay Pratt, the head of the Justice Department’s Counterintelligence and Export Control division, to Trump’s aforementioned home.
The writer mentions how Trump had previously used the issue of the leaking of Hillary Clinton’s emails, as a major weapon against her during his election campaign, as he was demanding and his supporters to “jail her.”
More broadly, the order to raid Trump’s Florida property, along with the fallout from the US Supreme Court’s decision regarding abortion, explains the author’s growing divide between red (Republican) and blue (Democratic) America. “These days, the Republican Party portrays federal law enforcement and the US intelligence community as a deep state,” he says.
The writer adds that the Republican Party has no problem with “the state flexing its muscles”, as long as the matter is not directed against it.
“I will vote for Republicans for the first time“
And finally to the Telegraph, and an opinion piece by American writer Lionel Shriver titled: “I’ll Vote for Republicans for the First Time – But Not if They Choose Trump.”
The writer begins her article by declaring that she is about to reveal her upcoming electoral positions as a member of the Democratic Party.
“Unsurprisingly, I am very critical of Donald Trump, whose rejection of the results of the 2020 election and his failure to leave the White House as quietly as any good president have constituted a real attack on democracy.”
The writer notes that although she voted for Biden, she is “disgusted by his cajoling of progressive, racist nonsense.”
Shriver asserts that, for the first time in her life, she will vote for Republicans in the presidential election if the Republican Party nominates someone as conservative, reasonable and responsible as Florida Governor Ron DeSantis.
The writer believes that Biden is unpopular even among Democrats, to the extent that the doors of white people are almost open to the Republican Party in the presidential elections that will take place in two years.
Shriver said that to ensure a return to power and “secure my vote, there is only one thing Republicans must not do: re-nominate Donald Trump.” She asks, “Is this too difficult?”
However, the writer believes that the move by the FBI to raid Trump’s home made it more likely that he would certainly seek re-election.
Shriver adds that Trump followers are already convinced that the “deep state” is trying to destroy their leader. “They already believe that the FBI is in the service of Satan.
However, she goes back and says that on the other hand, the talk that every room in Donald Trump’s home was searched by more than 30 intelligence agents was not politically motivated “is a ridiculous idea.”
Shriver adds that this step was a propaganda campaign for Trump, as it “revitalized” his fan base.
The writer supports her idea by saying that Republican conservatives denounced the raid as “unprecedented and alarming.”
But she says the hours-long home search might be worth it, if it results in a criminal conviction against Trump for smuggling government documents, preventing him from running again for federal office.
Shriver ends her article by saying, “What is gratifying is that most Americans do not want Biden or Trump to run for president again.”
Polls indicate that nearly seven in 10 respondents said they did not want Biden to run again and nearly six in 10 did not want Trump to do so.
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