A leaked Israeli military document showed that the Hebrew state expects a military confrontation with the Lebanese “Hezbollah” in the near period, despite optimism that an agreement to demarcate the maritime borders with Beirut with American mediation could be concluded, while Iranian circles expected that Tehran’s nuclear file would be returned to the UN Security Council. To punish her, in light of the failure of the Vienna negotiations.
Despite the encouraging signs that emerged at the conclusion of the visit of the American mediator Amos Hochstein to Beirut and Tel Aviv, about the possibility of reaching a “historic agreement” to demarcate the maritime borders between Lebanon and Israel, and thus share the disputed gas wealth, a military document revealed, parts of which were leaked to the Hebrew media, That the Israeli army believes that there is a “reasonable possibility” of a confrontation with “Hezbollah” in the near future, and that the party can initiate a war to circumvent the internal criticism it is facing.
According to the document prepared by the Northern Command of the Israeli army, Hezbollah leader Hassan Nasrallah may go to war with the Jewish state in order to “restore his popularity in Lebanon and extricate himself from internal problems.”
The document added that in the wake of the killing of the commander of the “Quds Force” of the Iranian “Revolutionary Guard” Qassem Soleimani in 2020, the Secretary-General of the Iranian-backed party became “isolated”, as what it described as the alliance of Iran, “Hezbollah” and Syria was shaken. And she continued, “Nasrallah is trying, through his threats, to take credit for the completion of the gas agreement.”
The document, parts of which were published by the official Israeli Channel 12, indicated that “the next day after Nasrallah, the heir will be weaker, but more dangerous,” and considered that the party had become “greedy and corrupt, and began to lose support and be subjected to sharp criticism inside the country,” and pointed out that the party’s leadership It is “losing control of its military elements in the field.”
In a speech yesterday, the deputy head of Hezbollah’s Executive Council, Ali Damouche, said that “America is running an economic, living, political, and media war on Lebanon, in order to humiliate the Lebanese people to submit, surrender, give up the weapons of the resistance and remain neutral, but the American must know. Our people, who followed the path of Hussein and carried the banner of resistance, did not abandon it in the darkest of circumstances.”
He accused America, Israel, Gulf states and Lebanese media professionals of launching a “campaign of incitement and hostility against the resistance to hold it responsible for the crises in Lebanon.”
Meanwhile, Israeli Prime Minister Yair Lapid said that his country “is working to prevent Iran from establishing terrorist bases throughout the Middle East, especially in Syria.” He added at the start of the government meeting in West Jerusalem yesterday: “I confirm that Israel will not allow Syria to be used as a corridor for the transfer of weapons to terrorist organizations, and will not allow the establishment of Iranian bases or militia bases on our northern borders.” He pointed out that Israel “is conducting a successful diplomatic campaign to block the nuclear agreement, and to prevent the lifting of sanctions” against the Islamic Republic.
He continued, “The European countries announced, on Saturday, that the nuclear agreement with Iran is not about to be signed, and that the Iranian files that are open to the International Atomic Energy Agency are not about to be closed.” Lapid thanked France, Britain and Germany for their “firm stance on this issue. Over the past months, we have had a calm and intense dialogue with her, and we have provided her with intelligence information about Iran’s activities in its nuclear facilities. He stressed that “the work to thwart the Iranian nuclear agreement is not over yet, and the road is still long, but there are positive signs.”
Lapid indicated that he will go to Germany to meet with German Chancellor Olaf Scholz, pointing out that “the aim of the visit is to coordinate positions on the Iranian nuclear program, and to agree to finalize a document of strategic, economic and security cooperation that will be signed between the two countries.”
denounce and punish
On the other hand, Iranian circles expected that the Western powers would submit Tehran’s nuclear file to the UN Security Council to discuss re-imposing international sanctions on Tehran in light of its violation of the restrictions of the 2015 nuclear agreement, from which Washington withdrew in 2018. Iranian circles spoke of Indications suggest that the development of events will lead to the presentation of the Iranian file to the international council, which will make the resumption of nuclear negotiations after the end of the US midterm elections next November meaningless.
She stated that “the European parties and the administration of the Democratic US President Joe Biden realized that there was no longer any hope of resolving the contentious issues with the Iranians during the remaining few weeks before the “Congressional” elections,” which made these parties escalate again in their positions against Iran with the hope of resuming negotiations in the future after Next November.
The Iranian sources confirmed that they expect the Biden administration to offer Tehran fewer concessions after the “Congressional” elections, because it will be in a weaker position vis-à-vis the Republicans, Israel and the Arab countries opposing the potential nuclear deal.
This came on the eve of an upcoming meeting of the International Atomic Energy Agency’s Council of Elders, which will discuss today Tehran’s nuclear file and its failure to respond to the International Organization’s investigation regarding 3 undeclared sites where traces of enriched uranium were found.
Yesterday, Iranian Foreign Ministry spokesman Nasser Kanaani warned the “European Troika” that its joint statement questioning Tehran’s intentions to revive the nuclear agreement “is not constructive, contradicts good intentions, and traces the trail of the Zionist entity in sabotaging the Vienna negotiations.”
In parallel, Russia’s permanent representative to international organizations, Mikhail Ulyanov, described the statement of the three European countries criticizing Iran’s approach to negotiations to revive the nuclear agreement as untimely.
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